tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-20358187.post4716473114681179463..comments2023-10-22T09:18:16.885-04:00Comments on Far and Wide: McCain Gets Key EndorsementSteve Vhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/04871113039374739208noreply@blogger.comBlogger5125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-20358187.post-73456901446969674492007-12-02T22:41:00.000-05:002007-12-02T22:41:00.000-05:00mushroomJust one more dynamic in this whole mess. ...mushroom<BR/><BR/>Just one more dynamic in this whole mess. In my mind Thompson is pretty much finished. There were reports this weekend, that Thompson was soliticing support for McCain prior to him entertaining his run. What if Thompson drops out after NH, and endorses McCain? All the polls show Thompson with ample support in SC, that endorsement, plus a NH win, could work for McCain. A longshot, but not out of the realm :)Steve Vhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/04871113039374739208noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-20358187.post-31825368084076700922007-12-02T18:38:00.000-05:002007-12-02T18:38:00.000-05:00mushroomI don't disagree, but I would argue that t...mushroom<BR/><BR/>I don't disagree, but I would argue that the congested primary season makes momentum all the more important. You could have a scenario where Guiliani loses the first three contests and is effectively done. Huckabee is showing more strength in SC, and McCain is viable. If Romney loses NH, Guiliani heads into SC with nothing, then I see Huckabee and McCain could be the play. Huckabee has less organization that McCain, so all bets are off.Steve Vhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/04871113039374739208noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-20358187.post-23902416957008929122007-12-02T14:03:00.000-05:002007-12-02T14:03:00.000-05:00Steve,Romney limps into NH but will the rest of th...Steve,<BR/><BR/>Romney limps into NH but will the rest of the Republican field be crippled? This year will be different. The primaries are one after the other. Florida will be decided by the end of January and the candidate will be determined by then.<BR/><BR/>Therefore, McCain could find himself swamped in New Hampshire with no time to build momentum for the Southern primaries. Note that Huckabee's numbers in NH are within the dead heat for second so I am not sure how that helps McCain.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-20358187.post-24409035959780831722007-12-02T13:09:00.000-05:002007-12-02T13:09:00.000-05:00"Romney is running with a double digit lead one mo..."Romney is running with a double digit lead one month before the NH Primary. He has the southern part of the state all wrapped up (Boston commuter belt)."<BR/><BR/>Mushroom, how many double digit leads have evaporated in New Hampshire before, just weeks before the primary? If Huckabee pulls off Iowa, then Romney limps into NH. From all the polls I've seen, preference is quite soft and very fluid.Steve Vhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/04871113039374739208noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-20358187.post-75240078832772607602007-12-02T13:04:00.000-05:002007-12-02T13:04:00.000-05:00Romney is running with a double digit lead one mon...Romney is running with a double digit lead one month before the NH Primary. He has the southern part of the state all wrapped up (Boston commuter belt).<BR/><BR/>The concern now is that Huckabee is leading Iowa according to Rasmussen and the Des Moines Register. He could even be running second in South Carolina and Florida. All while having very little money. He only raised $1 million in the third quarter alone compared to Romney's $7 million!!!<BR/><BR/>If Huck pulls off Iowa and wins South Carolina and Florida, it will send a message in how primaries can be won. This is even a major phenomenon than Howard Dean using netroots. In the end, netroots didn't pull enough votes for Dean in the early praimaries.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.com