tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-20358187.post6296381826596535249..comments2023-10-22T09:18:16.885-04:00Comments on Far and Wide: Trending LiberalSteve Vhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/04871113039374739208noreply@blogger.comBlogger9125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-20358187.post-14395925619406296992009-04-25T14:42:00.000-04:002009-04-25T14:42:00.000-04:00burl
You could be right, which is another reason ...burl<br /><br />You could be right, which is another reason for caution.Steve Vhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/04871113039374739208noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-20358187.post-90197339313862816022009-04-25T13:07:00.000-04:002009-04-25T13:07:00.000-04:00I doubt if the BC election makes much difference. ...I doubt if the BC election makes much difference. People in BC are very used to having totally different parties at the federal and provincial level. Otherwise, you would think that more people would say they would vote Conservative in the provincial election - yet the BC Conservatives are almost non-existent.DLhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/11587165866597795302noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-20358187.post-7030959130629377882009-04-25T12:19:00.000-04:002009-04-25T12:19:00.000-04:00Throwing a little cold water here just because i c...Throwing a little cold water here just because i can, but the provincial election (where Campbell's blue Liberals are polling in safe majority territory) could be influencing the BC numbers. As a BC voter, I'd love to see us being within striking distance but unless this is virtually a Lower Mainland only sampling, it's hard to believe we are near 30 in the interior-north. But as you said, snapshot-wise, another healthy trend.burlivespipehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/18048415779214466831noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-20358187.post-53823696139880322212009-04-25T12:11:00.000-04:002009-04-25T12:11:00.000-04:00That poll gives me a Conservative minority with ab...That poll gives me a Conservative minority with about 125 seats to 110 Liberal. The Ontario result makes all the difference, because the Conservatives would be lucky to elect one MP from Quebec with this.Érichttps://www.blogger.com/profile/06849352443716808247noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-20358187.post-89929975391668901112009-04-25T09:20:00.000-04:002009-04-25T09:20:00.000-04:00Thanks Steve,
I'd agree, 24% for Harper is pretty...Thanks Steve,<br /><br />I'd agree, 24% for Harper is pretty woeful.Pearcehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/18352082171720055212noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-20358187.post-58711370073677093942009-04-25T09:19:00.000-04:002009-04-25T09:19:00.000-04:00Pearce
Actually, the leadership numbers are prett...Pearce<br /><br />Actually, the leadership numbers are pretty stable from this pollster. Some of the others do the fav/unfav, but AR asks this question and it's been pretty much tied the last three results. Just to add, it's very rare for a sitting PM to be tied with an opposition leader on this measure, I'd be happy if Iggy was just within striking distance. 24% for a sitting PM is a dreadful score.Steve Vhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/04871113039374739208noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-20358187.post-13485936658255372362009-04-25T09:08:00.000-04:002009-04-25T09:08:00.000-04:00I agree about your reading of the poll. However, d...I agree about your reading of the poll. However, do you have any further comment on the leadership numbers? Ignatieff used to be ahead by a substantial margin (from what I remember)... But I may be misremembering the favourable/unfavourable numbers, instead of the "who would make the best PM" numbers.Pearcehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/18352082171720055212noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-20358187.post-21695389602278600682009-04-25T09:05:00.000-04:002009-04-25T09:05:00.000-04:00I love how people move the bar, we're supposed to ...I love how people move the bar, we're supposed to be "light years ahead", as though our worst defeat in history didn't count. As an aside, AR was on of the last pollsters to give the Cons a lead outside of MOE prior to the latest release.<br /><br />I think what I've presented here is a fair read, especially the Ontario numbers.Steve Vhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/04871113039374739208noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-20358187.post-5306414896100890012009-04-25T08:54:00.000-04:002009-04-25T08:54:00.000-04:00For the requisite spin from across the aisle, see ...For the requisite spin from across the aisle, see <A HREF="http://www.bluelikeyou.com/2009/04/25/did-the-liberals-goof-with-iggys-appointment/" REL="nofollow">here.</A>I would like to see more sound BC numbers as well... The Liberals really have nowhere to go but up (one would hope) after the last election.Pearcehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/18352082171720055212noreply@blogger.com