Yes, the Conservatives have opened up a big lead against the Liberals. But, isn't it interesting, that despite the Liberals now polling below the abysmal 2008 election total, we still see the Conservatives and NDP each off around 3% from their election results? Poll vs election comparison, which addresses a wider point that has now become common:
Cons 34.4% (37.7%)
Libs 25.1% (26.3%)
NDP 15.3% (18.2%)
Greens 12% (6.9%)
Bloc 10.6% (10%)
People can quibble with the Green vote, but let's not forget that last election, as well as in the Ontario provincial election, the polling did manifest to the voter booth. I'm not saying the Greens will do this well in an election, merely this total speaks to the growing disgust amongst voters with the other parties. The fact that the Cons, Libs and NDP are all DOWN, at the same time, is a new development in Canadian politics. It used to be, that we would see the seesaw effect, or the NDP bleeding away supporters, but now you have a pathetic Liberal tally, accompanied by less than 2006 totals for the Cons, and the NDP not only failing to capitalize but bleeding as well.
This poll, and other recent ones, highlight a simple fact- no main party is capturing the imagination of voters, they are bored to tears and generally turned off by all of you. Not the partisans, the base, but the "up for grabs" voter is lost in the inspirational desert. The big Conservative lead doesn't bring the usual fear, because there is no real momentum here, voters just skimming the surface, drifting around, impressed by no one. As a matter of fact, it has become quite clear that these results are largely meaningless, only an election can possible engage people, or cement their malaise with growing no shows.
I guess the question, is it even possible for cemented institutions to pivot wildly, and realize that the only answer is a provocative, challenging, assault on the status quo? Bold or bust- or maybe more rightly bold or hope the other guy is even LESS palatable and you "win" by default. I'd take the former, because clearly the cookie cutter approach isn't paying off thank you very much.