A new Ipsos Reid poll finds that the Conservatives, at 34% support nationally...some Tories may be scratching their heads to figure out what they have to do to pull away from the Liberal Party that follows closely at 32% support nationally. The New Democratic Party, under the leadership of Jack Layton, has also settled in at 17% support. The Bloc Quebecois has dropped 2% points nationally, receiving the support of 8% of Canadians, the same as the Green Party.
Once again, Ipsos has some bizarre regional totals, with concerning margin of errors. Does anyone really believe these results for British Columbia, particularly the woeful NDP numbers?:
Cons 37%All the other polls, show a three-way, tight race in British Columbia, so I would characterize the NDP showing as a anomaly.
The only provinces with reasonable margins of error, that you can have any confidence in, are the Ontario and Quebec results. Both show some reason for optimism for the Liberals:
Ontario numbers mirror the last poll, while the Quebec results show a marked uptick for the Liberals(+5%), and further Bloc erosion (-4%).