Ipsos- Cons 43%...Libs 34%...NDP 14%...Greens 8%
Decima- Libs 38% Cons 32% NDP 17% Greens 12%
Strategic Counsel- Libs 40% Cons 33% NDP 14% Greens 14%
Environics- Libs 38% Cons 31% NDP 18% Greens 12%
Margin of errors are comparable, with the Environics poll having the biggest sample size. Three of the four polls show the Liberals leading by an average of 6.7%, while Ipsos has the Conservatives out front by 9%. Ipsos also has the Conservative support a full 10% above anyone else. Conclusion, fairly obvious which polling stands out as suspect.
Ipsos- Cons 42%...Libs 28%...NDP 16%
Decima- Cons 31%...Libs 26%...NDP 26%...Greens 12%
Environics- Libs 29%... Cons 27%... NDP 25%... Greens 17%
Strategic Counsel(west) Cons 41%...Libs 27%...NDP...21%
The SC poll is for the "west" as a whole, but a little common sense with Alberta eliminated demands a tight race in British Columbia. Again, Environics with the largest sample size, margins of error comparable, although higher than Ontario. Conclusion, Ipsos vastly overstates Conservative support, while underscoring the NDP support. In general, British Columbia is understood as a three-way race, with no one enjoying a solid lead. All the polls, except Ipsos, demonstrate that fact, which again makes its results suspect at best.
Ipsos- Bloc 50%...Cons 22%...Libs 17%...NDP 7%
Decima- Bloc 36%...Cons 21%...Libs 18%...NDP 13%
Strategic Counsel- Bloc 37%...Cons 26%...Libs 17%
Environics- Bloc 32%...Cons...25%...Libs 17%...NDP 17%
Crop(exclusive Quebec poll)- Bloc 31%... Cons 31%... Libs 17%... NDP 14%
Fairly good agreement on the Bloc support, apart from Ipsos, same for the NDP, apart from Ipsos. The Liberal numbers are very consistent, with all the polling, it would appear the teens are real. The Crop poll is the only one to show a close race, but it is noteworthy that they have a very good reputation for accuracy in Quebec. Apart from that, Ipsos once again produces a strange result.
When you look at the national numbers, it is the Ipsos results that look suspicious, with all the other polling outfits showing a far closer spread, and Harper nowhere near majority terrority. I suppose the Ipsos poll gives Conservatives great comfort, as they love to tout the results. However, if you are truly interested in accuracy, the above findings speak loud and clear, Ipsos results should be viewed with a sceptical eye. The Conservatives are not way out in front in Ontario, British Columbia is very competitive and the Bloc is not running away in Quebec.