The poll found national support for the Conservatives at 36 per cent, 27 per cent for the Liberals, 16 per cent for the NDP, seven per cent for the Bloc Québécois, and six per cent for the Green Party.
The IR poll actually has the Conservatives up 2% from their last poll, using the same panel of voters. Obviously, these numbers don't jive with last week's barrage of polls, although the common theme of a Conservative voter ceiling is consistent.
The poll concentrates on the Mulroney affair, and the findings are fairly benign. People that would never vote Conservative anyways say the affair is a negative on Harper, supporters ignore it. The findings amount to a whole lot of nothing IMHO.
6 comments:
I thought Innovative was a bit iffy though. Don't they have some fairly strong Tory ties? Also, I wonder what happened to the latest IR?
"Also, I wonder what happened to the latest IR?"
I wondered that too. I predict they bring the numbers down somewhat to hold some semblance of credibility.
I saw these IR guys on the agenda when ontario election was on and they are all cons...there was not one good word for libs....they were so horrid in their bias..I switched channels.
"The IR poll actually has the Conservatives up 2% from their last poll, using the same panel of voters."
Does this mean they used the same respondents as in the previous poll?
If so, that would mean this is a longitudinal poll and the numbers would make some sense and demonstrate the silliness of their methodology. Longitudinal surveys are best taken with long periods in between reference periods to allow for possibilities of opinion change. I am talking years. If the time between surveys is only weeks then you cannot expect much change from survey to survey. People are not THAT fickle.
I imagine that this poll is not longitudinal, so the 2% rise for the Conservatives is insignificant.
"Does this mean they used the same respondents as in the previous poll?"
That's the way it sounds. I included that part because it seemed strange to use the same sample four weeks later.
This poll from IR only adds up to 92%: CPC (36%), Libs (27%), NDP (16%), BQ (7%) and Greens (6%). I wonder if they forgot to divide the undecideds?
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