A survey done this week had the NDP tied with the Conservatives in public support at 35 per cent each. Just one in five Canadians — 19 per cent — backed the Liberals, their level of support in the last election.
The NDP are now seen as the most effective opposition, with 40 per cent of those polled endorsing the party’s performance. That’s up from 32 per cent earlier in the month.
At the same time, fewer than 25 per cent see the Liberals
To put this result in perspective, the last poll from this outfit had it 36% for the Conservatives, 28% for the NDP and 26% for the Liberals. A 9% rise for the NDP, which mostly comes at the expense of the Liberals, the Conservatives relatively unchanged. This result is perhaps instructive for those intrigued by the Nathan Cullen proposals.
They call it a "bounce" for a reason, because like a ball, it usually comes back down, but still this first post-convention offering suggests a honeymoon and a successful outcome for the NDP. As well, while some of my fellow Liberals are in denial about Mulcair, this poll also shows the terrific challenge we now face in Quebec with Mulcair at the helm. We don't have the regionals, but I suspect much of the seismic change this poll is Quebec driven, as Mulcair surges and erases any Liberal uptick in the province. Some have suggested Quebecers really don't like Mulcair, I suggest we understand that they rarely turn their back on their own, particularly a guy that has appeal with soft nationalists, less alienating. Time will tell, but rather than try and spin, understate or wait for implosion, Liberals had best realize a Mulcair led NDP is very much cementing itself in Quebec and react accordingly. Time will tell.
Everybody loves the minty fresh leader of the opposition, what else is new. I suspect we don't see the Rae attack ads much anymore...
5 comments:
When Mulcair turns blue screaming ineffectively at the Tories for the destruction of Canada inherent in this budget, designed as it is to gut everything liberal and democratic in this country his numbers will come down.
What Jerry said.
Outside of Quebec, I might agree, within, not sure I'd count on it.
Everybody loves the minty fresh leader of the opposition, what else is new. I suspect we don't see the Rae attack ads much anymore...
Well, the last point is something to look forward to. ;)
I'm sort of curious about the nature of attack the Conservatives will launch against Mulcair and the NDP. I think we got a slight preview of their strategy during Wednesday's question period. They're using his past (cost cutting Quebec minister) as well as the previous votes against the budget against the NDP (how dare you vote against programs that would help First Nations, etc). I'm not convinced this will be effective. Although it will take the sting out of any NDP attacks if they could argue that the cuts are less than what Mulcair did in his department. (Issues like this should have been dealt with during the leadership race.)
I think some of Mulcair's bounce came from the fact that most Canadians suspect the attack on the NDP online voting was orchestrated from the PMO.
Post a Comment