A new poll suggests Tory support is sliding over voter concern that Canada has become too cozy with the United States on Middle East policy.
The latest results by Decima Research, released to The Canadian Press, put the Conservatives and Liberals in a virtual tie nationally.
The Tories had 32 per cent support compared with 31 per cent for the Liberals and 16 per cent for the New Democrats.
But the Liberals widened their Ontario lead to 42 per cent of voter support compared with 33 per cent for the Conservatives, and have pulled in front of the Tories in Quebec for the first time since last winter's campaign.
The two parties had been neck-neck in Ontario as recently as mid-June.
"When we look at the combination of the alignment of the government with the current U.S. administration policy on the Middle East - and in particular with respect to the Lebanon-Israel conflict - it's reasonable to assume it's one of the factors that's driving Conservative support down in the near term," said Decima CEO Bruce Anderson.
Where to start? It's just one poll, but it most certainly is nothing but good news for the Liberals and confirmation that the Conservatives are fading. With the last batch of polls, we can now safely assume that Harper will wait until next year's budget before he even thinks about an election. The opposition is now emboldened, Harper's bullying tactics now demand a reality check.
I have always argued that Quebecer's flirtation with Harper was temporary. The simple fact remains, despite the overtures, Tory philosophy is at great odds with Quebec society and this can't help but manifest itself. Harper can micro-manage and manipulate all he wants, but history tells us that the agenda is always riddled with surprises. In this case, foreign policy has shown the uncensored Conservative position and people are simply rejecting it.
These results may be a bit of an outlier, but I am willing to bet we have some nervous Tory strategists tonight. Maybe we should just scrap the GST altogether?