Wednesday, November 01, 2006

Layton Gets Cool Response

Some interesting commentary on what Layton's manoeuvers in parliament mean:
Environmentalists are nervous about NDP Leader Jack Layton's deal with Prime Minister Stephen Harper to have a Commons committee rewrite the Clean Air Act.

Many activists are reluctant to criticize Layton, who they see as an ally, but they fear his initiative could shatter what had been a unified opposition strategy to bury the bill.

They also fear Layton's move will distract attention from a rival bill put forward by Liberal MP Pablo Rodriguez that would require the government to respect the emissions-cutting targets of the Kyoto Protocol.

"Some people are apprehensive," Dale Marshall of the David Suzuki Foundation said Wednesday.

"The opposition was united around Kyoto and the Rodriguez bill and the government was clear it was only interested in delay.

"It was very clear where things were going. Now there's a lot more balls in the air and it makes people antsy..."

But one veteran activist said Layton's move will allow the Conservatives to escape a humiliating defeat in the Commons, since all opposition parties had vowed to vote against the Clean Air Act, and create new opportunities for delay.

"We had beaten them (the Conservatives) into a corner and now Jack has let them out," he said, speaking on condition of anonymity.

Green Party Leader Elizabeth May said that bringing the Clean Air Act into committee would give the government bill undeserved legitimacy.

"Saying that there's any hope of breathing life into this really appallingly bad legislation is confusing, and does appear to have given Harper new legs to say this bill is acceptable."

May suggested the New Democrats don't like to be seen as having the same policies as the Liberals, and Layton's move is intended to steal some of the limelight from the Rodriguez bill.

I agree that the government was backed into a corner, but I don't agree that the pressure is now off. We need to see how this whole process fleshes itself out, but if the opposition comes up with effective amendments that largely gut and rebuild the legislation, then Harper is forced to respond. If the government rejects the new approaches, they look worse than they do now. If the government accepts substantial changes that really tackle the issues, then this process has clearly been a positive development.

There are two choices, defeat the legislation and have nothing until after the next election, or try and craft something with teeth immediately. There are many unknowns, but I don't agree that this is merely a "stunt", it has a real chance to be relevant. Much will depend on how much the opposition compromises, to which I hope they remain firm. The true test will come after the committee process, to see if Layton wants to play politics and accept half-measures, or remains true to the NDP environmental plan. If this process is a mirage, then the opposition can simply walk away and defeat the legislation. Important to remember, Layton must live up to his environmental platform through this process. If politics look to trump the substance, then any support comes with great risk for the NDP, and I doubt they are willing to cede ground to the upstart Greens. In other words, the political dynamics may keep everyone honest and prevent spin and bad framing to score points. Let's hope so.

7 comments:

knb said...

Hmmm, I did not know of all this reaction and I'm sorry, I'm rushing right now. I'm glad to know at a bit of glance, that there is trepidation out there, sad, but glad too. (See my comments, I think 2 post's, ago).

Love your post's Steve.

Olaf said...

I think this reaction says a lot.

To me it says:

a) that many environmentalists have based their virulent opposition to the Clean Air Act partly on the fact that they hate Harper and everything he stands for. If he came out with any plan that wasn't drafted by the Green Party they still would have shit, where as if the Green Party came out with Harpers plan they would have been only mildly nonplussed.

b) Elizabeth May is being disingenuous in saying there's something about the bill that is somehow beyond repair. With a few switched targets it's basically the same plan as any other environmental platform, if not as comprehensive (which could be fixed through adding ammendments).

c) that for some, it wasn't about putting together strong environmental legislation, as it was punishing Harper once they 'had him into a corner'

burlivespipe said...

What could Harpor do to make Layton happy? That the NdP leader waited all this time to come up with this 'olive branch-like offer' seems a little hotstove-ish. Jackie, Libbie and Pat-Martino sitting around before a warm fire, swirling brandy glasses and laughing about who of the three looks more like Charles Laughton. 'Aha!' says Martino... 'We can steal some of the Grits' glare by pretending to toughen up that stale Tory Mean Air Act."
Jack replies, "Let me just ask Stevie if we can set up a photo-op on that!"
"Oh joy," sez Libbie. "Do you think he'll bring Helena with him?"

-- very dubious. Harpor's acceptance only confirms my suspicions. This olive branch coming from anyone else would have been slapped away with a "I dare them to force an election!" rebarb.
Ah, maybe I need to cut back on the cynical tea...

Olaf said...

Anon,

What's a rebarb? Can you bake it in a delicious pie?

Steve V said...

burl

Agreed, on suspicion of motivations, but it is critical to remember that a Layton/Harper alliance is irrelevant in the current minority makeup. Ultimately, it will be up to the Liberals and Bloc to decide if this is substantative or mutual grandstanding. The Bloc will never support something that doesn't have the spirit of Kyoto, lest they alienate strong Quebec opinion, and the Liberals aren't going to endorse something just to make Layton look relevant. Moreover, when push comes to shove, can Layton sellout and not pay a huge price with his base, not to mention the Greens biting at his flank.

Anonymous said...

It has given Harper some breathing room, no pun intended. If election is called before legislative committee completes its work then it looks good on Harper. Layton might have screwed this one.

Sierra said...

QUOTE "They also fear Layton's move will distract attention from a rival bill put forward by Liberal MP Pablo Rodriguez that would require the government to respect the emissions-cutting targets of the Kyoto Protocol.

"Some people are apprehensive," Dale Marshall of the David Suzuki Foundation said Wednesday.

"The opposition was united around Kyoto and the Rodriguez bill and the government was clear it was only interested in delay. "


environmentalists need to pull their collective heads out of the sand an realize the only reason the Liberals promote Kyoto is cause they know it's an impossilbe target to hit and want to make Harpers goverment look bad.

Canada's Kyoto target was negotiated without any background data or scientific analysis... it is IMPOSSIBLE to meet without buying $5 billion worth of Russian hot air credits.

two facts... Canada's GHG emissions are directly tied to our population growth cant reduced emissions by 6% when your population is growing 25%. 25% more people means 25% more furnaces to heat homes, 25% more cars on the road and 25% more consicuois consumption our society is so fond of...

yes they can do more to regulate industry but Industry only accounts for 1/2 of all emissions... Industry can reduce maybe 55 tonnes with efficiency gains... the only way to get more is to shut off comptete whole sectors of industry...

Plus the NDP and Liberals and Bloc can talk Kyoto all they want but the truth of it is that the liberals sat on the file doing squat for so long that it's no impossilbe to meet... you can legislate that Canada will meet Kyoto all they want but the truth is that there is NO organizational capability whatsoever to actaully run a GHG tracking and reduction progarm at the national level...

if you can't track your performance are you suppose to meet a target???

tracking and organization is 4 years out... I know... I was working on the system... before I quit in frustration!