What I find exciting, an Ignatieff led Liberal Party looks a potent force in Quebec and British Columbia. Nationally, it's 38% for the Cons, 33% for the Libs, 13% for the NDP with Ignatieff at the helm. That's a great result in and of itself, particularly when you see a full 20% for the Cons at this moment, with this pollster. Even more intriguing, Ignatieff is very competitive in Ontario, Atlantic Canada, but it's the Quebec numbers that suggest optimism:
By comparison, Rae would receive 19% in Quebec, while the Cons are at 22%, Bloc 41%. I firmly believe that after the last election, there is a real opportunity for the Liberals to re-establish themselves in Quebec. This belief has only solidified in the last week, because Harper has essentially damaged himself beyond repair in Quebec, the right Liberal candidate COULD make huge gains. Ignatieff easily looks the best option in Quebec, a fact which is of chief importance.
I was also encouraged to see how Ignatieff polled in British Columbia, 32% is a great number for any Liberal, and again much better than Rae, who draws 25%.
When you start playing around with the regionals, you can actually make a credible case that Ignatieff has enough broad support to win an election. Another item that stuck out, despite this perception of Rae as "left", Ignatieff as "centrist", the NDP actually do worse if Ignatieff were leader, down to 13% (5% less than what the pollster gives them today), while they score 15% against Rae.
There is one other finding, in this poll, that needs to be considered. Canadians impressions of Harper have worsened considerably, as a result of recent events. While Dion's numbers are even worse, it's largely irrelevant, because Dion is a temporary circumstance. That means, when the dust settles, the Liberals will present a fresh face, a new identity, while the Conservatives will be led by a man who's stature is lessened, who has more baggage than he had in the last election. If Liberals are to maximize any advantage, this poll, like one's prior, show Ignatieff is our best hope.