Federal Tory policies on the environment and Afghanistan have cost the party support in British Columbia, although the Conservatives are ahead of their political competition among decided voters, a new poll suggests.
The Tories have 33 per cent support compared with 29 per cent for the NDP and 28 per cent for the Liberals, according to the survey of 852 B.C. adults conducted by Mustel Group Market Research, and released yesterday.
Movement since last poll:
Liberal support has been stable since the last Mustel survey, conducted in March, but NDP support appears to have increased nine points. In March, the Tories were at 40 per cent support.
The poll shows growing disapproval of Conservative policy, as it relates to the environment and Afghanistan.
Mike Witherly, a strategist for the federal Liberal party in B.C., said he took solace that the level of Liberal support held up in the face of Tory attack ads against Leader Stéphane Dion.
"Despite their best efforts, they really can't move the dial," Mr. Witherly said.
"It's like we had round one and they threw everything they have got and they got nowhere. If I were a Conservative strategist, I'd be saying, 'What can we possibly do to move our numbers?"
It would appear that the erosion in Conservative support is directly tied to the uptick in NDP support, with the Liberals simply bypassed. The Liberal numbers are static, which seems to mirror the national trend, draw you own conclusions.
If these numbers held in an election, the Conservatives would probably lose seats in B.C.. The list of provinces that show potential seat loss suggests nothing close to a majority, with the prospects of outright defeat more and more likely.