The poll also measured support for the Conservatives and Liberals if an election were held in the immediate future, indicating that the two parties were statistically tied at 33 per cent and 32 per cent respectively
Bricker mentions that the numbers haven't really changed much in the last two years, but if you look at the last pre-Green Shift poll by this outfit, you see the Cons were at 36%, the Liberals 30%. I would counter a 5 point swing, in such short order, ias noteworthy. Also relevant, the fact that the outfit which normally tends to overstate Conservative support, relative to others, now has a statistical tie. Hard to see that as a good sign for the Conservatives.
On the question of the Green Shift, the numbers are encouraging:
Of those who answered the Ipsos Reid survey of 1,002 adult Canadians, a slim majority, 52 per cent, said they either strongly or somewhat agree with Dion's approach. In contrast, 42 per cent of respondents said they strongly or somewhat oppose the plan, and six per cent were undecided.
A slim majority if you consider the undecided and no responders, but a healthy majority, a full 10%, with those that have decided.
While 62 per cent of respondents said they believed the plan - dubbed Green Shift by the Liberals - will reduce pollution in the country, about two-thirds (65 per cent) of respondents felt the Liberals' proposed carbon tax would lead to a major increase in the taxes paid by families, and 62 per cent said they thought it's likely to increase tension between Western Canada, Ontario and Quebec
Interestingly, people believe this plan will reduce emissions, but also see a price attached. While this speaks to the hard sell on revenue neutrality, it does point to a willingness to embrace the plan.
I agree with Bricker that it's too early to judge, people need to see more details. From a strategic perspective, I will gladly take a non-committed electorate at this point, because a complicated policy needs time to be understood, the early days probably the most challenging, especially with the pre-launch attacks.
All this said, it is important to remember the source, which always demands an asterisk. The compelling part, the asterisk poll no longer offers delusional comfort for the Cons, in fact, it should be of real concern.
More detail here