The Tories are the preferred party of 31.4 per cent of decided voters who responded to the survey, with the Liberals close behind at 29 per cent. The New Democratic Party took 16.4 per cent, the Green Party 11.1 per cent and the Bloc Québécois 8.8 per cent.
Tory support was down 2.2 percentage points from last week, when the party drew 33.6 per cent support, while the Liberals were up 1.7 points from 27.3. The NDP’s numbers rose slightly from last week’s 15.9 per cent, while the Greens and Bloc each fell about half a point.
Last week, I mentioned that Ontario can swing with the slightest political breeze. When you look at the regionals, you see that the change this week is largely a result of Ontario(last week in brackets):
As polling goes, the 8.4% Conservative drop is seismic. This volatility, while encouraging for the Liberals, also shows just how fickle the Ontario voter, support is very superficial. That said, this number alone will send shutters through the PMO.
EKOS also finds the approval/disapproval numbers trending against the government.
I wasn't entirely convinced that this scandal would really move the numbers, primarily because it has an "isolated" feel, which doesn't necessarily translate to the party as a whole. I'd like to see more results, but it would appear I was wrong, because this is a big move for EKOS, outside of normal week to week fluctuations.