In Quebec the latest week’s results find the BQ with 37%, the Liberals 21%, the Conservatives 14%, the Greens 13%, and the NDP with 12%. Over three weeks, the BQ leads with 37% compared to 21% for the Liberals, 16% for the Conservatives, 13% for the NDP and 9% for the Green Party.
• In Ontario, latest results show the Liberals with 44%, compared to the Conservatives 30%, the NDP 15%, and the Green Party 10%. Over three weeks, the Liberals lead with 40% compared to the Conservatives at 31%, the NDP at 15% and the Greens at 12%.
• In BC, three week averages show the Conservatives with 34%, the Liberals with 25%, the NDP with 20% and the Green Party at 18%. In Atlantic Canada, three-week averages show Liberals with 36%, the Conservatives at 33%, the NDP 23%, and the Greens at 6%.
The Liberal lead in Ontario is fairly impressive, if numbers like the above hold, then a Liberal minority isn't out of the question.
The Conservatives numbers in Quebec are depressing, in fact I don't remember results this low for quite some time. Also, a decent result for the NDP.
British Columbia is very competitive, but what is quite striking, the Green Party support. The Conservatives best chance seems to be vote-splitting, rather than impressive support for the party.
While the total poll numbers show the Liberals up a mere 2%, these regionals suggest better prospects. Don't be surprised if Dion starts talking tough again ;)