Overall, 34 per cent of respondents said they would vote Conservative if an election were held tomorrow, compared to 27 per cent who would vote Liberal. The New Democrats were in third place with 18 per cent support.
Last month's poll had the Conservatives at 33%, Liberals 30% and the NDP at 20%, Greens 8%. For context, the month prior had it 36-26% in favor of the Conservatives. Much of this looks to be simple bouncing around the margin of error, but Angus offers Dion's poor leadership numbers as partial reason:
Liberal Leader Stéphane Dion's approval rating has sunk to its lowest level yet, with nine of 10 Canadians saying they disapprove or are not sure of his performance as the head of the party, according to the latest Toronto Star/Angus Reid opinion poll.
I'm not sure if "sunk" is the right word, given last month's poll had Dion at 11%, which is essentially the same. That said, you can't put lipstick on a pig, pretty much horrific numbers for Dion, as the article points out, lower that John Turner. One caveat here, Harper isn't exactly setting the world ablaze with his 32% approval, down 1% from last month, unmoved if you will. Harper looks good, but that is only in a relative sense, and his score merely matches the Conservative numbers.
None of this is surprising, Dion was never about to raise his leadership score, within the atmosphere of abstaining, that environment just cements "weak", "ineffectual". Before anyone brings up the "online" angle, every poll published mirrors the same challenges for Dion, so I take the numbers seriously.
What intrigues me, if Dion can move these numbers over the summer as he starts to flesh out his environmental plan. At the very least, the ideas should address some of the leadership question, astute policy aside. Time will tell. It sure can't hurt!