National- Conservatives 33%, Liberals 33%, NDP 17%, Green 7%
Ontario- Liberals 38%, Conservatives 36%, NDP 18%, Green 9%
Quebec- Bloc 37%, Liberals 27%, Conservatives 20%
West- Conservatives 41%, Liberals 30%, NDP 20%, Green 9%
East- Liberals 45%, Conservatives 28%, NDP 22%, Green 4%
This poll is essentially unchanged since the last SES poll in November. The Conservatives have bounced back in Quebec, up 8 points. Interesting that the Tory resurgence comes in a province where the attack ads haven't ran. Tory support is unchanged in Ontario, well down in the West and the Atlantic provinces.
Liberal support has fallen in Ontario, with the NDP and Greens picking up the difference. This is the first post-convention SES poll, and it shows a considerable leap in the West, solid support in Quebec and big jump in the Atlantic (although the Atlantic margin of error is huge).
I'd still like to hear some Dion negative numbers before I completely conclude the attack ads irrelevant, but these results are far more comforting than yesterday's. This is the poll you take to the bank in my mind, and in the words of Dana, it confirms the fact that Canadians are mostly "confused". Something for everyone, no clear indication of anything.