Stephen Harper's Conservatives have slipped into a virtual tie with the Liberals in support, according to a new Ipsos Reid poll.
The Conservatives command 35% in support among decided voters, compared with 34% for the Liberals, according to the poll, conducted exclusively for Canwest News Service and Global TV.
The NDP sit at 14%, the Bloc Quebecois at 9%, and the Green Party at 7%. Those results are consistent with recent polls, according to Ipsos Reid.
For context, last week's results:
The survey says the Conservatives have 38 per cent support, up two points from the election; the Liberals are up one point to 31 per cent; the NDP is down three points to 14 per cent; the Bloc Quebecois dropped three points to eight per cent, and the Green party is up three points to eight per cent.
And in case anyone doubts the Tory slide, just two weeks ago Ipsos-Reid had the Tories with a full ten point advantage. The Liberals should be pleased to be back in the mid-thirties, it's been awhile.
Things can change, only a snapshot, a week is a year, etc. However, the question now becomes, how low can they go? We all know the Liberal floor, interesting to see if the Tories touch bottom.
Regionals, although I wouldn't put much stock in anything beyond the Quebec and Ontario (both of which are really bad news for Harper) numbers, given the margin of error:
It is widely understood that the Conservatives will have to gain considerable ground in seat-rich Quebec and Ontario to win a majority, but the poll shows the Liberals have widened their lead in Ontario, where they now have 44 per cent in support, compared with 34 per cent for the Conservatives.
The Conservatives lost even more ground in Quebec, where the Grits have vaulted into second place behind the Bloc Quebecois. The Bloc leads with 35 per cent support, followed by the Liberals at 25 per cent and the Conservatives at 20 per cent.
The poll contains the following regional results:
• B.C.: Conservatives 43 per cent (-4), Liberals 32 (+4), NDP 15 (0), Green 10 (+1)
• Alberta: Conservatives 66 (+4), Liberals 20 (+10), NDP 7 (-4), Green 7 (-8)
• Saskatchewan/Manitoba: Conservatives 46 (0), Liberals 25 (+3), NDP 22 (+1), Green 8 (-3)
• Ontario: Conservatives 34 (-6), Liberals 44 (+4), NDP 13 (0), Green 9 (+2)
• Quebec: Bloc 35 (+4), Conservatives 20 (-5), Liberals, 25 (+1), NDP 14 (+2), Green 5 (-1)
• Atlantic Canada: Conservatives 32 (+10), Liberals, 43 (-1), NDP 18 (-4), Green 7 (-1)