OTTAWA — A new poll suggests Canadians think Michael Ignatieff is wrong to try to force an election this fall and the Liberal leader’s popularity has nosedived as a result.
The Canadian Press Harris-Decima survey also suggests Liberal fortunes have dipped, with the Conservatives taking a slight lead nationally — 34% to 31%.
The NDP was at 15%, the Greens at 10%, and the Bloc Quebecois at 8%.
According to the poll, respondents with a negative impression of Ignatieff jumped 15 points from March, to 41%.
Thirty-nine per cent had a favourable impression, down six points.
Stephen Harper isn’t doing much better — impressions of the prime minister remained virtually unchanged with 44% having a favourable opinion and 45% having an unfavourable opinion.
Ignatieff has "nosedived" to even with Harper, so let's keep it all in perspective.
As for the national numbers, again this "Liberals dipped" presentation isn't really evident. The last HD poll had it 32% Libs, 31% Cons, NDP 16%, Greens 11%, Bloc 9%. More a Conservative uptick than a Liberal wane, mirroring what Nanos just released.
More later, because the devil is in the details...
Regionals actually look better than I thought. Decima gives us a nice edge in Ontario:
In the crucial battleground of Ontario, the Liberals were at 39 per cent, followed closely by the Tories at 34 per cent, the NDP at 16 and the Greens at 10.
In Quebec, where Liberal strategists are hoping to capture up to 30 seats, the Bloc remains solidly in front with 36 per cent support. The Liberals had 31 per cent, the Conservatives 16 per cent, the NDP nine and the Greens six.
The Tories opened up a substantial lead in British Columbia, with 37 per cent to the Liberals' 27 per cent, the NDP's 19 and the Greens' 16
I would describe all three of those regionals as encouraging for the Liberals, nothing near the "Liberals fading" narrative that seems to accompany these polls. Not to shabby actually, let the games begin!