Ipsos Reid has found that 59 per cent of those polled are against the new tax (39 per cent support) -- set to begin July 1 with a 2.4-cent-per-litre increase in the price of gasoline -- with just under half of the respondents saying they oppose it "strongly."
Opposition to the tax is greatest in the Interior, followed by the Lower Mainland and then the rest of mainland B.C.
See, see, a carbon tax is political suicide. Well, not so fast. Seems to me, such widespread opposition should manifest itself where it counts, voting intention. Interesting then, that the Campbell government pays NO political price, in fact the gap between themselves and the anti-carbon NDP is higher than ever:
The poll shows the Liberals have the support of 47 per cent of decided voters, a number slightly above what they've held throughout the past year.
The NDP has 33-per-cent support, down three points from this time last year.
The seatless Green Party remained steady at 16-per-cent support, a level it has essentially held for the past year as well.
"I think the most important number is that at this point the vote hasn't changed one iota, despite the fact a lot of people knew this [the carbon tax] was coming," said Braid.
"It's been discussed since February and it hasn't had any impact whatsoever."
Obviously, "the most important number", actually, the only number that matters. Campbell's numbers "slightly better", the NDP down marginally, hardly supporting the political suicide argument of the naysayers. I think this disconnect speaks to the dual themes of hating taxes, but appreciating leadership. Nobody likes taxes, as acknowledged by the pollster:
"You shouldn't read too much into the opposition here," he said.
"You could insert any kind of tax and you'd probably see a 40/60 split, maybe even worse."
In other words, that's the kneejerk response, it's expected. What is relevant, if that disagreement shifts political opinion, clearly it hasn't and that's the bottomline. I'm sure the detractors will cite this poll to support their opinion, but in my view, they miss the point entirely. Last time I checked, the purest measure of opinion was vote intention. On that score, all factors considered, this should allay some fears as to the coming "suicide".