This is good news:
Conservative Party 34 (-1)
Liberal Party 30 (+2)
NDP 19 (NC)
BQ 10% (NC)
Green Party 7% (-1)
Undecided 14% (-2)
Note the high undecided. Also, NANOS has the Conservatives at a low water mark for the campaign, mirroring Decima.
Of the following individuals, who do you think would make the best Prime Minister? [Rotate] (N=1,202,MoE ± 2.8%, 19 times out of 20)
Conservative leader Stephen Harper 32% (NC)
Liberal leader Stephane Dion 20% (+3)
NDP leader Jack Layton 19% (NC)
Green Party leader Elizabeth May 4% (NC)
Bloc Quebecois leader Gilles Duceppe 3% (-1)
None of them 6% (-2)
Unsure 16% (-1)
Still a gap, but quite simply the closest Dion has been to Harper since the early days of "not a leader"
Liberals up everywhere, but what is really striking, NANOS has the Liberals up to 28% in Quebec (plus 2% from yesterday). This poll now encompasses the full debate effect, and the Conservatives are now a full 12% behind the Liberals in Quebec.
Big lead in Atlantic Canada, margin of error aside, these trends have held for four days now, so it looks credible. Slight uptick in Ontario, although the NDP remains strong at 22%. Slight uptick in the "west" for the Liberals.
The gap is miniscule, and when you look at my last post, the scenario becomes more realistic if true. What really excites me, Dion's numbers are up across the board, this isn't a Quebec only circumstance. A credible Dion, voters will make the leap back to the Liberals more easily.
Should be an exciting week...