Liberals up 2%, NDP down 2%, Conservatives and Greens unchanged. Can we stop with the battle for second crap now MSM? We may be seeing the first signs of consolidation behind the Liberals, early, but that's the key.
The regionals show a big gap in Ontario:
Libs 40%(up 3%)
Cons 31% (down 2%)
NDP 22% (down 2%)
That tend mirrors Decima, who show the Conservatives Ontario support falling apart, down to a lowly 26%.
Liberals lead in Atlantic Canada, slightly ahead of the Conservatives in Quebec, an uptick in the "west".
Decima has a 5% gap today, a far cry from the 15% gap only a few days ago. EKOS also show a tightening race, the trends are irrefutable.
When the Liberals were well behind, and it looked bleak, my best case scenario was that we narrowed the gap to 4-5% by weeks end, knowing that it was a real possiblility to see late breakers moving to us in the last two days. Even if we see some back and forth now in the day to day numbers, the Liberals are now well placed to have a realistic shot at taking this election.