Bloc 36% (31%)
Libs 32% (37%)
Cons 15% (15%)
NDP 12% (12%)
The last CROP poll might have been a bit ambitious for the Liberals, a lead outside of the margin of error. The pollster attributes this movement to mere "stabilization", noting that the last poll took place during a very high profile sequence of events for the Liberals and Ignatieff. Moving forward, we can expect to see some vacillation in the numbers, but the dynamic remains the same- Liberals and Bloc relatively close, Conservatives consistently looking irrelevant.
What is particularly worrisome for the Conservatives, CROP now has them running third in the Quebec City region. The Liberals are actually running first at 33%, which hasn't happened since before the sponsorship scandal. If the Conservatives are losing hold of their incumbent region, it's getting very ugly.
Speaking of ugly, no direct attack ad information, but Ignatieff towers above Harper on the PM score:
The pollster notes, the last federal leader to achieve such a low score was Stephane Dion.
The Harper government also achieves the worst satisfaction result since a poll done days prior to Martin's defeat.
From the Liberal perspective, it's important to remember that not ever poll is going to bring new heights, we've been a bit spoiled lately. Expect to see more jockeying around, but the fundamentals are there and that's what matters moving forward. From the Conservative perspective, the battle now seems to be one of merely staying relevant.